Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system

The recent financial crisis and sovereign debt crisis in Europe have highlighted the need for systemic risk measures for macroprudential policy purposes. This thesis im-plemented three frameworks proposed by Billio et al. (2012) and Diebold & Yilmaz (2009, 2012, 2014) to investigate the intercon...

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Main Author: Doan, Tuan
Other Authors: Kauppakorkeakoulu, School of Business and Economics, Taloustieteet, Business and Economics, Jyväskylän yliopisto, University of Jyväskylä
Format: Master's thesis
Language:eng
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access: https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/80090
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author Doan, Tuan
author2 Kauppakorkeakoulu School of Business and Economics Taloustieteet Business and Economics Jyväskylän yliopisto University of Jyväskylä
author_facet Doan, Tuan Kauppakorkeakoulu School of Business and Economics Taloustieteet Business and Economics Jyväskylän yliopisto University of Jyväskylä Doan, Tuan Kauppakorkeakoulu School of Business and Economics Taloustieteet Business and Economics Jyväskylän yliopisto University of Jyväskylä
author_sort Doan, Tuan
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description The recent financial crisis and sovereign debt crisis in Europe have highlighted the need for systemic risk measures for macroprudential policy purposes. This thesis im-plemented three frameworks proposed by Billio et al. (2012) and Diebold & Yilmaz (2009, 2012, 2014) to investigate the interconnectedness of the European banking sys-tem as measures of systemic risk. The frameworks are applied using market data of a sample of 28 largest banks in Europe from 2001 to 2018. The empirical results show that systemic risk measures based on market data can identify periods of financial dis-tress in the market. Besides, I also find that the European banking system in overall has become more connected, especially during the sovereign debt crisis. Different frameworks seem to depict quite different characteristics of the system connectedness. Moreover, the ranking of banks according to their contribution to the aggregate con-nectedness is not precisely consistent within itself over different periods. Nor is the banks’ ranking consistent among different frameworks. The forecast error variance de-composition framework in Diebold & Yilmaz (2009, 2012, 2014) has the best out of sample performance in terms of identifying banks with the biggest losses during the crisis period. In consistent with previous literature, I do not find a strong relationship between the connectedness measures and other measures such as MES and Delta-CoVaR. Therefore, the results call for a more systematic view of systemic risk at multi-ple aspects.
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spellingShingle Doan, Tuan Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system Taloustiede Economics 2041 taloudelliset kriisit rahoitusmarkkinat finanssikriisit pankit riskit sääntely pankkiala economic crises financial markets financial crises banks (monetary institutions) risks regulation (control) banking sector
title Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
title_full Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
title_fullStr Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
title_full_unstemmed Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
title_short Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
title_sort connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the european banking system
title_txtP Connectedness as measures of systemic risk in the European banking system
topic Taloustiede Economics 2041 taloudelliset kriisit rahoitusmarkkinat finanssikriisit pankit riskit sääntely pankkiala economic crises financial markets financial crises banks (monetary institutions) risks regulation (control) banking sector
topic_facet 2041 Economics Taloustiede banking sector banks (monetary institutions) economic crises financial crises financial markets finanssikriisit pankit pankkiala rahoitusmarkkinat regulation (control) riskit risks sääntely taloudelliset kriisit
url https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/80090 http://www.urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:jyu-202203141796
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