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[{"key": "dc.contributor.advisor", "value": "Nyblom, Jukka", "language": "", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "advisor", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.author", "value": "Lepp\u00e4nen, Olli", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "author", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.accessioned", "value": "2017-10-12T17:43:29Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "accessioned", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.available", "value": "2017-10-12T17:43:29Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "available", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.issued", "value": "2016", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "issued", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.other", "value": "oai:jykdok.linneanet.fi:1726010", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.uri", "value": "https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/55612", "language": "", "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "uri", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.abstract", "value": "Tutkielma k\u00e4sittelee myyr\u00e4kuumeen mallintamista tila-avaruusmalleilla. Tutkin\r\nmyyr\u00e4runsauksien ja myyr\u00e4kuumetapausten v\u00e4list\u00e4 riippuvuutta ja selvit\u00e4n, voidaanko myyr\u00e4runsauksilla ennustaa tulevia myyr\u00e4kuumetapausten lukum\u00e4\u00e4ri\u00e4. Sen lis\u00e4ksi selvit\u00e4n, kuinka monen kuukauden viiveell\u00e4 myyr\u00e4kuumetapaukset ilmenev\u00e4t suhteessa myyr\u00e4runsauksiin. Sek\u00e4 myyr\u00e4runsaudet ett\u00e4 myyr\u00e4kuumetapausten lukum\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4t vaihtelevat vuodenajan mukaan.\r\n\r\nMyyr\u00e4kuumetapausten aineisto on ker\u00e4tty Terveyden ja hyvinvoinnin laitoksen tartuntatautirekisterin tilastotietokannasta ja myyr\u00e4runsausaineisto on saatu Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopiston Bio- ja ymp\u00e4rist\u00f6tieteiden laitokselta. Molempien aikasarjojen alkamisvuosi on 1995. Myyr\u00e4runsauksia on vuoteen 2014 asti ja myyr\u00e4kuumetapauksia on sen lis\u00e4ksi viel\u00e4 vuodelta 2015. Alueellisesti rajoitutaan tarkastelemaan vain Keski-Suomen, Pohjois-Savon ja Etel\u00e4- Savon sairaanhoitopiirien tartuntatapauksia.\r\n\r\nAiemmin myyr\u00e4kuumetapausten ja myyr\u00e4 runsauksien v\u00e4list\u00e4 riippuvuutta on mallinnettu yleistetyill\u00e4 lineaarisilla sekamalleilla. Tila-avaruusmallit soveltuvat kuitenkin monipuolisemmin ajassa vaihtelevan kehityksen mallintamiseen.\r\n\r\nTutkielmani antaa viitteit\u00e4 siit\u00e4, ett\u00e4 myyr\u00e4kuumetapaukset ilmenev\u00e4t viiden kuukauden viiveell\u00e4 mets\u00e4myyr\u00e4runsauksien suhteen. K\u00e4ytt\u00e4m\u00e4ni mallin ennustekyky on Keski-Suomen osalta ep\u00e4tarkka, mutta Pohjois- ja Etel\u00e4-Savon myyr\u00e4kuumetapausten ennustaminen onnistuu melko hyvin kuusi kuukautta eteenp\u00e4in.", "language": "fi", "element": "description", "qualifier": "abstract", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted using Plone Publishing form by Olli Lepp\u00e4nen (olveanle) on 2017-10-12 17:43:28.737575. Form: Pro gradu -lomake (https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/julkaisut/julkaisulomakkeet/pro-gradu-lomake). JyX data: [jyx_publishing-allowed (fi) =True]", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted by jyx lomake-julkaisija (jyx-julkaisija.group@korppi.jyu.fi) on 2017-10-12T17:43:29Z\r\nNo. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201710123984.pdf: 333104 bytes, checksum: 39611958ca56df60f73737a466aa1dd1 (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 4844 bytes, checksum: dd903024e3728076e425d9765deddbdc (MD5)", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Made available in DSpace on 2017-10-12T17:43:29Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201710123984.pdf: 333104 bytes, checksum: 39611958ca56df60f73737a466aa1dd1 (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 4844 bytes, checksum: dd903024e3728076e425d9765deddbdc (MD5)\r\n Previous issue date: 2016", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.extent", "value": "1 verkkoaineisto (33 sivua)", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "extent", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.mimetype", "value": "application/pdf", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "mimetype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.language.iso", "value": "fin", "language": null, "element": "language", "qualifier": "iso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights", "value": "In Copyright", "language": "en", "element": "rights", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "tila-avaruusmalli", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "Poisson-jakauma", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "t\u00e4rkeysotanta", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title", "value": "Myyr\u00e4kuumeen ja myyr\u00e4runsauden v\u00e4lisen suhteen mallintaminen tila-avaruusmalleilla", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type", "value": "master thesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.urn", "value": "URN:NBN:fi:jyu-201710123984", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "urn", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Pro gradu -tutkielma", "language": "fi", "element": "type", "qualifier": "ontasot", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Master\u2019s thesis", "language": "en", "element": "type", "qualifier": "ontasot", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Matemaattis-luonnontieteellinen tiedekunta", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Faculty of Sciences", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.department", "value": "Matematiikan ja tilastotieteen laitos", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "department", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.department", "value": "Department of Mathematics and Statistics", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "department", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "University of Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "organization", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopisto", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", 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