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[{"key": "dc.contributor.advisor", "value": "Junttila, Juha", "language": "", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "advisor", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.author", "value": "Vierimaa, Heikki", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "author", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.accessioned", "value": "2017-02-27T12:39:50Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "accessioned", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.available", "value": "2017-02-27T12:39:50Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "available", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.issued", "value": "2017", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "issued", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.other", "value": "oai:jykdok.linneanet.fi:1674310", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.uri", "value": "https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/53111", "language": "", "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "uri", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.abstract", "value": "T\u00e4ss\u00e4 Pro Gradu -tutkielmassa tarkastellaan tuulituotannon taseriskin m\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4ytymist\u00e4 pohjoismaisilla s\u00e4hk\u00f6markkinoilla. Tutkielmassa k\u00e4yd\u00e4\u00e4n l\u00e4pi pohjoismaisten s\u00e4hk\u00f6markkinoiden rakenne ja kirjallisuudessa esitettyj\u00e4 metodeja taseriskin hallintaan sek\u00e4 tuotannon ennustamiseen. \r\n \r\nKasvava kiinnostus tuulituotannon taseriskin hallintaan liittyvien ennustemallien vertailuun selittyy tuulituotannon voimakkaalla kasvulla. Pohjoismaisilla s\u00e4hk\u00f6markkinoilla tuulituotanto myyd\u00e4\u00e4n tuntikohtaiselle spot-markkinalle pitk\u00e4n aikav\u00e4lin tuotantoennusteen avulla. Tuottaja voi tarkentaa tuotantoennustettaan 45 minuuttia ennen k\u00e4ytt\u00f6tunnin alkua lyhyen aikav\u00e4lin ennusteella. Tuotantoennusteiden ja toteutuneen kulutuksen v\u00e4linen ero aiheuttaa tuottajalle taseriskin, joka voi toteutuessaan heikent\u00e4\u00e4 tuulivoimayhti\u00f6n kannattavuutta oleellisesti. \r\n \r\nTuulituotannon taseriskin kannalta oleellista on tuotantoennusteiden tarkkuus, jotka luovat pohjan my\u00f6s muille kirjallisuudessa esitetyille metodeille taseriskin hallintaan. Tutkielman empiirisess\u00e4 osiossa vertaillaan tuntiaineiston pohjalta rakennettujen ARMAmallien lyhyen aikav\u00e4lin ennustetarkkuutta suhteessa kirjallisuudessa esitettyyn naiviin ennusteeseen. Empiirisen tutkimuksen tulokset puoltavat osittain kirjallisuudessa esitetyn naiivin ennusteen k\u00e4ytt\u00f6\u00e4. \r\n\r\nTuulituotannon taseriskin mallintamista vaikeuttaa osaltaan tuulituotannon voimakas kasvu. Tuulituotannon markkinaosuuden kasvaessa tarpeeksi suureksi tuulituotannon vaihtelu vaikuttaa spot- ja tases\u00e4hk\u00f6n hintaan, jolloin tuulituottajia ei en\u00e4\u00e4 n\u00e4hd\u00e4 markkinoilla hinnanottajina. Tuulituotannon taseriskin hallintaa tarkastelevien tutkimusten tulosten voidaankin n\u00e4hd\u00e4 olevan voimakkaasti sidoksissa aikaan ja paikkaan.", "language": "fi", "element": "description", "qualifier": "abstract", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted using Plone Publishing form by Heikki Vierimaa (healvier) on 2017-02-27 12:39:49.870675. Form: Pro gradu -lomake (https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/julkaisut/julkaisulomakkeet/pro-gradu-lomake). JyX data: [jyx_publishing-allowed (fi) =False]", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted by jyx lomake-julkaisija (jyx-julkaisija.group@korppi.jyu.fi) on 2017-02-27T12:39:50Z\r\nNo. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201702271534.pdf: 1207793 bytes, checksum: 176b9ea07c0b43fb0d923f9f8545e01d (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 1139 bytes, checksum: d6fab7180435ee84904db76125d60f4b (MD5)", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Made available in DSpace on 2017-02-27T12:39:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201702271534.pdf: 1207793 bytes, checksum: 176b9ea07c0b43fb0d923f9f8545e01d (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 1139 bytes, checksum: d6fab7180435ee84904db76125d60f4b (MD5)\r\n Previous issue date: 2007", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.extent", "value": "1 verkkoaineisto (57 sivua)", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "extent", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.mimetype", "value": "application/pdf", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "mimetype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.language.iso", "value": "fin", "language": null, "element": "language", "qualifier": "iso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights", "value": "In Copyright", "language": "en", "element": "rights", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "Nord Pool", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title", "value": "Tuulituotannon taseriskinhallinta pohjoismaisilla s\u00e4hk\u00f6markkinoilla", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type", "value": "master thesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.urn", "value": "URN:NBN:fi:jyu-201702271534", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "urn", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Pro gradu -tutkielma", "language": "fi", "element": "type", "qualifier": "ontasot", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Master\u2019s thesis", "language": "en", "element": "type", "qualifier": "ontasot", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4 University School of Business and Economics", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopiston kauppakorkeakoulu", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.department", "value": "Taloustieteet", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "department", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "University of Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "organization", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopisto", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "organization", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.discipline", "value": "Kansantaloustiede", "language": "fi", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "discipline", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.discipline", "value": "Economics", "language": "en", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "discipline", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.updated", "value": "2017-02-27T12:39:51Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "updated", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "yvv.contractresearch.collaborator", "value": "business", "language": "", "element": "contractresearch", "qualifier": "collaborator", "schema": "yvv"}, {"key": "yvv.contractresearch.funding", "value": "0", "language": "", "element": "contractresearch", "qualifier": "funding", "schema": "yvv"}, {"key": "yvv.contractresearch.initiative", "value": "student", "language": "", "element": "contractresearch", "qualifier": "initiative", "schema": "yvv"}, {"key": "dc.type.coar", "value": "http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": "coar", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.accesslevel", "value": "restrictedAccess", "language": "fi", "element": "rights", "qualifier": "accesslevel", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.publication", "value": "masterThesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": "publication", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.oppiainekoodi", "value": "2041", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "oppiainekoodi", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.yso", "value": "s\u00e4hk\u00f6markkinat", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "yso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.yso", "value": "tuulienergia", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "yso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.yso", "value": "tuotanto", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "yso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.yso", "value": "taseet", "language": null, "element": "subject", "qualifier": "yso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.content", "value": "fulltext", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "content", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.url", "value": "https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/", "language": null, "element": "rights", "qualifier": "url", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.accessrights", "value": "Aineistoon p\u00e4\u00e4sy\u00e4 on rajoitettu tekij\u00e4noikeussyist\u00e4. Aineisto on luettavissa Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopiston kirjaston arkistoty\u00f6asemalta. Ks. https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/fi/tyoskentelytilat/laitteet-ja-tilat.", "language": "fi", "element": "rights", "qualifier": "accessrights", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.accessrights", "value": "This material has a restricted access due to copyright reasons. It can be read at the workstation at Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4 University Library reserved for the use of archival materials: https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/en/workspaces/facilities.", "language": "en", "element": "rights", "qualifier": "accessrights", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.okm", "value": "G2", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": "okm", "schema": "dc"}]
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