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[{"key": "dc.contributor.author", "value": "Rajala, Lauri", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "author", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.accessioned", "value": "2012-10-10T06:21:50Z", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "accessioned", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.available", "value": "2012-10-10T06:21:50Z", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "available", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.issued", "value": "2012", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "issued", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.other", "value": "oai:jykdok.linneanet.fi:1232119", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.uri", "value": "https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/39941", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "uri", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.abstract", "value": "T\u00e4ss\u00e4 tutkimuksessa selvitettiin maahanmuuton vaikutusta kohdemaan v\u00e4est\u00f6lle niin v\u00e4est\u00f6rakenteellisesti kuin taloudellisesti. Taloudellisia vaikutuksia esitell\u00e4\u00e4n aiempien tutkimusten valossa. Vastaavasti maahanmuuton vaikutusta v\u00e4est\u00f6rakenteeseen ja ty\u00f6llisten m\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4\u00e4n tutkittiin skenaariolaskennan avulla. Painopiste skenaariolaskelmissa on ty\u00f6per\u00e4inen maahanmuutto Suomeen. Laskelmat tehtiin sek\u00e4 koko Suomen tasolla ett\u00e4 aluetasolla k\u00e4ytt\u00e4en aluejaotteluna maakuntatasoa. Koko maan kattavat laskelmat pohjautuvat Eurostatin v\u00e4est\u00f6ennusteeseen ja alueelliset laskelmat Tilastokeskuksen v\u00e4est\u00f6ennusteeseen. V\u00e4est\u00f6ennusteen lukuihin lis\u00e4ttiin siten kunkin maahanmuuttoskenaarion mukaiset maahanmuuttajam\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4t. N\u00e4in saaduista v\u00e4est\u00f6ennusteista laskettiin v\u00e4est\u00f6llinen ja taloudellinen huoltosuhde. Taloudellisen huoltosuhteen laskuissa toisena muuttujana oli ty\u00f6llisyysaste, jota muunneltiin eri kehityskulkujen mukaisesti. Tarkasteltava aikav\u00e4li oli koko maan laskelmissa vuodet 2015\u20132050. Vastaavasti aluelaskelmissa tarkasteltiin vuosia 2015\u20132040 tarkasteluv\u00e4lin ollessa viisi vuotta.\n \nV\u00e4est\u00f6llinen huoltosuhde tulee heikkenem\u00e4\u00e4n maahanmuuttokehityksest\u00e4 huolimatta. Maahanmuuton runsaalla kasvulla v\u00e4est\u00f6llisen huoltosuhteen heikkenemist\u00e4 pystyt\u00e4\u00e4n kuitenkin hillitsem\u00e4\u00e4n, sill\u00e4 maahanmuuttajien ik\u00e4rakenne on kantav\u00e4est\u00f6\u00e4 nuorempi. Taloudellisen huoltosuhteen kannalta ty\u00f6llisyysasteen muutokset vaikuttavat maahanmuuttoa herkemmin ty\u00f6llisten m\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4\u00e4n. Taloudellinen huoltosuhde ei heikkene vuoteen 2050 menness\u00e4, jos positiivinen nettosiirtolaisuus noin kaksinkertaistuu 30 000 henkil\u00f6\u00f6n vuodessa ja 75 %:n ty\u00f6llisyysaste saavutetaan. Alueelliset erot muodostuvat kuitenkin suuriksi. Maakunnallisesti tarkasteltuna jopa nykyisentasoinen nettosiirtolaisuus riitt\u00e4\u00e4 yll\u00e4pit\u00e4m\u00e4\u00e4n nykyisen taloudellisen huoltosuhteen tason Uudellamaalla, jos ty\u00f6llisyysasteessa saavutetaan edell\u00e4 mainittu tavoitetaso. Vastaavasti esimerkiksi Etel\u00e4-Savossa edes korkeimman ty\u00f6llisyysasteen ja nettosiirtolaisuuden skenaariot eiv\u00e4t riit\u00e4 nykytason yll\u00e4pit\u00e4miseen.", "language": null, "element": "description", "qualifier": "abstract", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted using Plone Publishing form by Lauri Rajala (laperaja) on 2012-10-10 06:21:49.784105. Form: Pro gradu -lomake (1 tekij\u00e4) (https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/julkaisut/julkaisulomakkeet/pro-gradu-lomake-1-tekijae). JyX data:", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted by jyx lomake-julkaisija (jyx-julkaisija@noreply.fi) on 2012-10-10T06:21:50Z\nNo. of bitstreams: 2\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201210102640.pdf: 743460 bytes, checksum: 525c53948c77fc847374f71cc6ad452d (MD5)\nlicense.html: 5004 bytes, checksum: db8698a12e5eeb934ba5e6844aa7fd11 (MD5)", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Made available in DSpace on 2012-10-10T06:21:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201210102640.pdf: 743460 bytes, checksum: 525c53948c77fc847374f71cc6ad452d (MD5)\nlicense.html: 5004 bytes, checksum: db8698a12e5eeb934ba5e6844aa7fd11 (MD5)\n Previous issue date: 2012", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.extent", "value": "88 sivua", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "extent", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.mimetype", "value": "application/pdf", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "mimetype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.language.iso", "value": "fin", "language": null, "element": "language", "qualifier": "iso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights", "value": "In Copyright", "language": "en", "element": "rights", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "maahanmuutto", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ty\u00f6per\u00e4inen maahanmuutto", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "skenaariolaskenta", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "v\u00e4est\u00f6llinen huoltosuhde", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "taloudellinen huoltosuhde", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ty\u00f6llisyysaste", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title", "value": "Ty\u00f6per\u00e4inen maahanmuutto sek\u00e4 Suomen huoltosuhde ja ty\u00f6llisyysaste", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type", "value": "master thesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": 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