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[{"key": "dc.contributor.author", "value": "Bergman, Timo", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "author", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.accessioned", "value": "2011-06-08T14:53:33Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "accessioned", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.available", "value": "2011-06-08T14:53:33Z", "language": "", "element": "date", "qualifier": "available", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.issued", "value": "2011", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "issued", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.other", "value": "oai:jykdok.linneanet.fi:1159876", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.uri", "value": "https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/27127", "language": "", "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "uri", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.abstract", "value": "T\u00e4m\u00e4n tutkielman tarkoitus on suomalaisten ministeri\u00f6iden suhtautumistapojen tulevaisuuteen\r\ntutkiminen. Suhtautumistapoja on pyritty hahmottamaan etsim\u00e4ll\u00e4 painotuseroja mahdollisuuksien,\r\nhaasteiden ja uhkien v\u00e4lill\u00e4 ministeri\u00f6iden tulevaisuusn\u00e4kemyksiss\u00e4. Tutkimuskohteeksi\r\non rajattu v\u00e4est\u00f6n ik\u00e4\u00e4ntyminen tulevaisuuden haasteena.\r\nTutkielman aineiston muodostavat ministeri\u00f6iden tulevaisuuskatsaukset vuosilta 2006 ja\r\n2010. Tulevaisuuskatsausten tarkoituksena on tietopohjan luominen eduskuntavaaleihin ja\r\nniiden j\u00e4lkeisiin hallitusneuvotteluihin. Kyseisten asiakirjojen yleis\u00f6n\u00e4 toimii kuitenkin\r\nperiaatteessa kaikkien niist\u00e4 kiinnostuneiden ihmisten joukko, koska ne ovat julkisesti saatavilla\r\ninternetiss\u00e4. Tulevaisuuskatsausten lis\u00e4ksi tutkielman aineistoon kuuluvat valtioneuvoston\r\nennakointiverkoston toimintaymp\u00e4rist\u00f6kuvaukset vuosilta 2005 ja 2009.\r\nTutkielman analyysin apuna on k\u00e4ytetty p\u00e4\u00e4asiallisesti Bertrand de Jouvenelin tulevaisuusteorioita\r\nja Cha\u00efm Perelmanin argumentaatioteoriaa. N\u00e4iden lis\u00e4ksi siin\u00e4 on k\u00e4ytetty muuta,\r\nk\u00e4sitelt\u00e4vien aiheiden kannalta olennaista teoriakirjallisuutta. Analyysissa on hy\u00f6dynnetty\r\neniten de Jouvenelin tulevaisuuden ennakoinnin perusteluja. Perelmanin teorioista\r\nanalyysin tukena on k\u00e4ytetty eniten reaalisuuden ja arvottamisen periaatteita.\r\nMinisteri\u00f6t k\u00e4yttiv\u00e4t runsaasti syy-seuraus -suhteeseen perustuvaa kausaaliargumentaatiota\r\nperustellessaan tulevaisuuteen varautumista. Kausaaliargumentaatiossa korostuivat enemm\u00e4n\r\nuhat ja haasteet kuin mahdollisuudet. Tutkielman tuloksissa ilmeni kuitenkin vaihtoehtoisena\r\ntapana mahdollisuus-haaste -argumentaatio, joka tuotti uutta ainesta tulevaisuuskeskusteluun.\r\nMinisteri\u00f6iden tulevaisuuskeskustelua leimasi my\u00f6s ep\u00e4usko julkisen sektorin\r\nkehitt\u00e4mist\u00e4 kohtaan. T\u00e4m\u00e4 ilmeni sill\u00e4 tavalla, ett\u00e4 mahdollisuudet liitettiin yleens\u00e4\r\nyksityiseen elinkeinotoimintaan, kun taas julkinen sektori n\u00e4htiin yleens\u00e4 uhkien ja haasteiden\r\nmaailmana.", "language": "", "element": "description", "qualifier": "abstract", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted using Plone Publishing form by Timo Bergman (tironkko) on 2011-06-08 14:53:31.706331. Form: Pro gradu -lomake (1 tekij\u00e4) (https://kirjasto.jyu.fi/julkaisut/julkaisulomakkeet/pro-gradu-lomake-1-tekijae). JyX data:", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted by jyx lomake-julkaisija (jyx-julkaisija@noreply.fi) on 2011-06-08T14:53:33Z\r\nNo. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-2011060810966.pdf: 355776 bytes, checksum: e2c8b3bef901c1e6194ccb6056556add (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 5109 bytes, checksum: e38fcf17cfccb14589daea555ccf6510 (MD5)", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Made available in DSpace on 2011-06-08T14:53:33Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2\r\nURN:NBN:fi:jyu-2011060810966.pdf: 355776 bytes, checksum: e2c8b3bef901c1e6194ccb6056556add (MD5)\r\nlicense.html: 5109 bytes, checksum: e38fcf17cfccb14589daea555ccf6510 (MD5)\r\n Previous issue date: 2011", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.extent", "value": "84 sivua", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "extent", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.mimetype", "value": "application/pdf", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "mimetype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.language.iso", "value": "fin", "language": null, "element": "language", "qualifier": "iso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights", "value": "In Copyright", "language": "en", "element": "rights", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "tulevaisuus", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "kausaaliargumentaatio", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ministeri\u00f6", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ik\u00e4\u00e4ntyminen", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "asiantuntijatieto", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ennakointi", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.other", "value": "ep\u00e4varmuus", "language": "", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "other", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title", "value": "\"Tapahtumien kulkua on mahdotonta ennustaa\" : mahdollisuudet, haasteet ja uhat ministeri\u00f6iden tulevaisuusn\u00e4kemyksiss\u00e4 koskien v\u00e4est\u00f6n ik\u00e4rakenteen kehityst\u00e4 Suomessa", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title.alternative", "value": "Mahdollisuudet, haasteet ja uhat ministeri\u00f6iden tulevaisuusn\u00e4kemyksiss\u00e4 koskien v\u00e4est\u00f6n ik\u00e4rakenteen kehityst\u00e4 Suomessa", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": "alternative", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type", "value": "master thesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.urn", "value": "URN:NBN:fi:jyu-2011060810966", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "urn", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.dcmitype", "value": "Text", "language": "en", "element": "type", "qualifier": "dcmitype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Pro gradu -tutkielma", "language": "fi", "element": "type", "qualifier": "ontasot", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.ontasot", "value": "Master\u2019s thesis", "language": "en", "element": "type", 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