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[{"key": "dc.contributor.advisor", "value": "Mangeloja, Esa", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "advisor", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.author", "value": "Juvonen, Leo", "language": null, "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "author", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.accessioned", "value": "2025-05-06T12:28:48Z", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "accessioned", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.available", "value": "2025-05-06T12:28:48Z", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "available", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.date.issued", "value": "2025", "language": null, "element": "date", "qualifier": "issued", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.uri", "value": "https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/101834", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "uri", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.abstract", "value": "Tutkielma tarkastelee valtionvelan vaikutusta yksityiseen kulutukseen. Valtionvelan vaikutusten tutkiminen on taloustieteellisesti t\u00e4rke\u00e4\u00e4 ja ajankohtaista erityisesti viime vuosien kriisien vuoksi. Esimerkiksi Suomen valtionvelan tilanne on lukuisten muiden valtioiden lailla ylitt\u00e4nyt Euroopan unionin riskirajan (60%). \n\nTutkielman tutkimuskysymys on, onko valtionvelan ja yksityisen kulutuksen v\u00e4lill\u00e4 merkitt\u00e4v\u00e4 vaikutussuhde, ja onko suhde positiivinen, negatiivinen, neutraali vai ep\u00e4lineaarinen. Teoreettinen viitekehys muodostuu erilaisista yksityist\u00e4 kulutusta k\u00e4sittelevist\u00e4 teorioista, kuten Keynesin absoluuttisesta tuloteoriasta, jonka mukaan kulutus m\u00e4\u00e4r\u00e4ytyy vain nykyisten tulojen mukaan, ja Ricardolaisesta ekvivalenssista, jonka mukaan kuluttajat ennakoivat tulevia veronkorotuksia ja v\u00e4hent\u00e4v\u00e4t kulutustaan julkisten menojen lis\u00e4yksest\u00e4 huolimatta. Tutkielmassa hy\u00f6dynnet\u00e4\u00e4n paneeliaineistoa 28:sta Euroopan valtiosta sek\u00e4 useita tilastollisia menetelmi\u00e4, kuten lineaarista regressiota, vektoriautoregressiota (VAR), Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) -mallia ja Markov-Switching-mallia. \n\nTulokset viittaavat p\u00e4\u00e4asiallisesti negatiiviseen vaikutussuhteeseen valtionvelan ja yksityisen kulutuksen v\u00e4lill\u00e4. Ep\u00e4lineaarisuutta arvioivat menetelm\u00e4t my\u00f6s havaitsevat, ett\u00e4 vaikutus voi voimistua viel\u00e4 negatiivisemmaksi valtionvelan noustessa. Tulokset eiv\u00e4t kuitenkaan ole t\u00e4ysin yksimielisi\u00e4 ja aineistossa esiintyy my\u00f6s positiivisia vaikutussuhteita, mutta t\u00e4m\u00e4nlaiset tulokset ovat hyvin harvassa. Tutkielman havainnot korostavat valtionvelan merkityst\u00e4 p\u00e4\u00e4t\u00f6ksenteossa erityisesti finanssipolitiikan tehokkuuden kannalta.", "language": "fi", "element": "description", "qualifier": "abstract", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Submitted by jyx lomake-julkaisija (jyx-julkaisija.group@korppi.jyu.fi) on 2025-05-06T12:28:48Z\nNo. of bitstreams: 0", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.provenance", "value": "Made available in DSpace on 2025-05-06T12:28:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "provenance", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.extent", "value": "64", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "extent", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.mimetype", "value": "application/pdf", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "mimetype", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.language.iso", "value": "fin", "language": null, "element": "language", "qualifier": "iso", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights", "value": "CC BY-NC-ND 4.0", "language": null, "element": "rights", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.title", "value": "Valtionvelan vaikutus yksityiseen kulutukseen", "language": null, "element": "title", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type", "value": "master thesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": null, "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.identifier.urn", "value": "URN:NBN:fi:jyu-202505064079", "language": null, "element": "identifier", "qualifier": "urn", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopiston kauppakorkeakoulu", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.faculty", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4 University School of Business and Economics", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "faculty", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4n yliopisto", "language": "fi", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "organization", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.contributor.organization", "value": "University of Jyv\u00e4skyl\u00e4", "language": "en", "element": "contributor", "qualifier": "organization", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.discipline", "value": "Taloustieteen maisteriohjelma", "language": "fi", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "discipline", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.subject.discipline", "value": "Master's Degree Programme in Economics", "language": "en", "element": "subject", "qualifier": "discipline", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.coar", "value": "http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": "coar", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.copyright", "value": "\u00a9 The Author(s)", "language": null, "element": "rights", "qualifier": "copyright", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.accesslevel", "value": "openAccess", "language": null, "element": "rights", "qualifier": "accesslevel", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.type.publication", "value": "masterThesis", "language": null, "element": "type", "qualifier": "publication", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.format.content", "value": "fulltext", "language": null, "element": "format", "qualifier": "content", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.rights.url", "value": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/", "language": null, "element": "rights", "qualifier": "url", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.accessibilityfeature", "value": "unknown accessibility", "language": "en", "element": "description", "qualifier": "accessibilityfeature", "schema": "dc"}, {"key": "dc.description.accessibilityfeature", "value": "ei tietoa saavutettavuudesta", "language": "fi", "element": "description", "qualifier": "accessibilityfeature", "schema": "dc"}]
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